2020 Links
Nov. 12th, 2022 11:16 amScience, Technology, Engineering, and Math
S. Hossenfelder and T.N. Palmer Rethinking Superdeterminism and a popular science article by the same authors How to Make Sense of Quantum Physics. Hossenfelder's blog is full of commenters saying, “but if this was true we would not have free will!!”, which instantly made me want to believe in superdeterminism.
The Real Butterfly Effect. Nowadays “butterfly effect” just refers to to systems that depend sensitively on their initial conditions, but in the paper/talk that introduced the phrase, Lorentz was atually speculating about something even stranger: a deterministic system which is unpredictable beyond a fixed finite time horizon, no matter how accurately you can measure the initial state.
This could be philosophically interesting if you want to reconcile determinism and libertarian free will, because (much like Aaronson's freebits) it could leave some space for the soul to hide. See also Hossenfelder's case for strong emergence, which speculates about a similar kind of free-will loophole, this time with a “scale” horizon rather than time horizon.
Tides and centrifugal force. Centrifugal force doesn't play any role in tides: even though the earth is in orbit around the two-body center of gravity, the tidal forces are the same as they would be if the earth was in freefall directly towards the moon. I used to think this was counterintuitive, but this article has some good animated gifs which help make sense of what is going on.
Does running cold water on a burn for 20 minutes actually help? Apparently yes!
Hacking an arm prosthesis so that it plugs into a synth.
And the thing is, for me it's such a natural thing to do I don't really have to think about it. I just do it. It's zero effort because I'm so used to producing this muscle signal. For me this feels like I'm controlling the filter with my thoughts. It's difficult to put in words.
In 1997 a tiger was shot and wounded by a Russian poacher. It then found the poacher's cabin and waited outside his front door to kill and eat him when he came back.
Hydrocephalus and Intelligence: The Hollow Men. Gwern doesn't believe the claims of intelligent people with only 2% of the normal brain volume. However, he mostly focuses on rebutting the claim that destroying 98% of your brain would make you smarter (which, to be sure, seems unlikely), and several of the sources he quotes seem to say it would be unsurprising if destroying most of your brain (e.g. glial cells) would not make you dumber—a rather surprising claim itself, I would think! A comment on SSC suggests that because brain function can deteriorate quickly, perhaps the supposedly IQ 120 patients used to be smart but were no longer.
I've sometimes seen science fiction stories or philosophical hypotheticals asking if you would rather transition or get a treatment that makes you feel at home in your assigned sex, but apparently something like that can happen in real life.
Cat owners resorting to China’s underground marketplace to buy antivirals.
When Robin Kintz’s two kittens, Fiona and Henry, contracted a fatal cat disease last year, she began hearing of a black-market drug from China. The use of the drug, known as GS-441524, is based on legitimate research from UC Davis, but the ways to get it seemed much less so. “It was, ‘If you want to save your cat, send me thousands of dollars, and I’ll DHL you some unmarked vials,’” she says. And she did. Kintz transferred the thousands of dollars, got the unmarked vials from China, and then injected the clear liquid into her dying cats every day for months.
You probably know how to prove that √2 is irrational. Can you adapt the proof to also show that √5 is irrational? It turns out that there is a good and a bad way to do so, and the bad way is attested as far back as Plato!
Before the moon program, Margaret Hamilton worked as a research assistant for Edward Lorenz and was acknowledged in some of his pioneering papers about chaos.
Facebook Research prototypes a sunglasses-sized VR head set using holographic optics. I love the roadrunner logic here: save space by replacing a set of bulky lenses with a 2D drawing of them.
A youtuber makes a 100W CW handheld laser pistol, housed in an old radar gun casing from 1985. It must be insanely dangerous, but it looks just like you imagined laser guns when you were a kid.
The Fermi Paradox has not been dissolved.
the main effect reported by Sandberg et al., namely that the Fermi observation is not antecedently very improbable given our current knowledge of parameters in the Drake equation, is entirely dependent on their largely unexplained approach to describing the uncertainty in [the fraction of habitable planets with life]. If it is treated like the other parameters in their equation, the effect vanishes.
Computing
Alan Turing's unpublished paper Intelligent Machinery (1948) contains early versions of many points made in his famous Computing Machinery and Intelligence (1950). In particular, there's a precursor to the Imitation Game/Turing Test:
It is possible to do a little experiment on these lines, even at the present state of knowledge. It is not difficult to devise a paper machine which will play a not very bad game of chess. Now get three men as subjects for the experiment A,B,C. A and C are to be rather poor chess players, B is the operator who works the paper machine. (In order that he should be able to work it fairly fast it is advisable that he be both a mathematician and a chess player.) Two rooms are used with some arrangement for communicating moves, and a game is played between C and either A or the paper machine. C may find it quite difficult to tell which he is playing. (This is a rather idealized form of an experiment I have actually done.)
Comparing the specs of the Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs USB-C Chargers.
Compiler warnings as an implicit, deniable backdoor. (The Hacker News discussion has an explanation about how the “fix” creates the vulnerability.)
Looking at this as a whole, = was never “the natural choice” the assignment operator. Pretty much everybody in the ALGOL tree used := for assignment instead, possibly because = was so associated with equality. Nowadays most languages use = entirely because C uses it, and we can trace C using it to CPL being such a trash fire.
Crabs: The bitmap terror (1985). One of the truly groundbreaking inventions at Bell Labs. The report is a like a who's-who of famous computer scientists, pranking each other.
In the next few days, unaware people were exposed to crabs in the comfort of their own terminal ("Let me show you something..."). The question would always come up: "How do you stop them?" "You can't." "Yes, but how do you stop them?"
In the land of BSOD 256 byte demo for pico8. The source code fits in a tweet.
About the efficient reduction of lambda terms, an introduction to optimal reduction and whether it is useful in practice (somewhat pessimistic).
Solving the mystery behind Abstract Algorithm’s magical optimizations. One of the more suprising results of optimal reduction is that you can compute exponentials of church numerals efficienty, e.g. computing 1010 mod 13 nearly instantly, even though the code looks like it would need to store 1010 in unary representation. How does it do it?
Arts and Culture
David Bowie once performed as a guest singer with Placebo in 1999.
Nouvelle Vague's cover of Bela Lugosi's Dead is pretty good. (Although I still prefer the original.)
Hatsune Miku cover of Ameno. I think it's better than the original, which is very rare for vocaloid music.
The moai emoji was likely inspired by statues in Shibuya, not in Easter Island.
Excellent shitposty Utena liveblog (via pdaliceliveblogs who by the way also runs a good Utena liveblog).
“I got measles once” THIS IS THE LEAST TRAGIC TRAGIC ANIME BACKSTORY I HAVE EVER BEEN FORCED TO SIT THROUGH
UTENA therefore you and me. An animatic music video for si-o’s song “故にyou and me”. It’s quite good, and also I’m impressed with the dedication to make an anime music video by personally drawing it.
English translation of Renai Circulation by Y. Chang (4 min video, performed by Lizz Robinett). I'm impressed, it's not very literal but gets across the cuteness very well.
For some reason, Wir Sind Helden's 2005 hit "Von hier an blind" was translated and released in Japanese. It's very bad!
Hundreds of Artists Redraw the 2000s' Favorite Gothic Anime Angel. The original artist Hiro Suzuhira posted a redraw too. This is really sweet—but the twitter hashtag system is an abomination, at the time you could find hundreds and hundreds of them, but now the twitter search ignores old posts so the entire event is effectively lost? Apparently the original painting was concept art for, or turned into, a figure.
On Translationese. The prose in both Kenzaburo Oe’s and Haruki Murakami's novels have been compared to Japanese translations of foreign novels. But actually what this means is completely underdetermined: in the case of Murakami and early Oe it was a "clear and natural" style, but the "intellectual and elaborated" style of Oe's later novels was also called translationese.
Billie Eilish and Finneas break down their hit song 'Bad Guy' (12 min video).
The hillarious part about all this that we just were in Australia in May, and my dad goes "you heard these crosswalks?", and I was like "Yes. The chorus to Bad Guy". And he goes "what?"
"Take 5", but in 4/4.
Philip Glass tweets:
Stuck in the house? Here’s 3.5 hours of “Einstein in the HOUSE”, a full performance of Einstein on the Beach in someone’s living room.
(I don't know why, but I found this amateur performance much more engaging than the professional ones I have seen on youtube.)
Adam Neely posts some lo-fi hi-hop microtonal Christmas chunez, as well as some theory and more theory and examples.
And here is an entire playlist of Microtonal lofi hip hop playlist - ♩beats to relax/study to♩ by various composers.
Esther Sayffarth adjusts a handful of bardsongs to avoid the letter e. Also by Sayffarth, a nice introduction to oulipo.social, my second-favorite social network after tumblr.
Much like roman sculptures, many medieval cathedrals were painted in bright colors rather than the bare stone we are used to. Here's a twitter thread with comparison pictures.
The word balloons in Watchmen change style depending on which decade is depicted.
The anatomy in the Armada Portrait looks really weird, I wonder what Queen Elizabeth thought. “Here it is, Your Majesty, ta-dah!”. “Uh, thanks, it's.... lovely. Let's put it in a rarely used room to protect it”.
There can't possibly be enough CVCVC names like "Shevek" for everyone on Annares. (via.)
why not declare that the official form is something more like Shevekozuf? That way we immediately get a billion or so possible names
(Meanwhile, there are a thousand ways to transliterate Chebyshev/Чебышёв.)
Words that are anagrams of their antonyms.
A year before Metroid, there was another game called Baraduke which also had a character in a bright yellow space suit who hunts underground space aliens, and at the end is revealed to be a woman. Is there some kind of shared cultural influence behind them?
Signifier is "a Brutalist response to 17th century typefaces", i.e. it tries to capture the essence of the earlier typeface while being obviously based on Bézier curves and polygons instead of on physical metal. Zoomed in it looks jarringly harsh, but when zoomed out it feels very similar to the classic humanist style.
Ink traps and pals. An ink trap is smalll notch near a sharp corner in a graphic design, to compensate for imperfect printing technology which would otherwise smooth out the corner. Many fonts make use of it, and similar ideas also transfer into the digital realm (e.g. in "Signifier" above).
Combining Blade Runner 2049 music and drone footage of San Francisco on 9/09/20.
Meander is a procedural system for generating historical maps of rivers that never existed.
International Politics
The New Age of Instagram Diplomacy.
Over the last few months the PRC Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) has been pushing its diplomats to vigorously engage on global (as opposed to Chinese) social media channels. This has been most notable on twitter, and has resulted in two dozen diplomats or so adopting the persona of professional twitter troll. The United States does this, Trump says that, and voila! the Chinese diplomatic core is on the scene with a few sarcastic comments they hope might go viral. Hou takes the MOFA directive to grow her social media presence in a different direction: her model of public diplomacy is not the twitter brawler, but the Instagram influencer. Welcome to the 2020s.
Would Iraqis greet us with flowers? I made sure of it.
On Feb. 13, 2003, a few weeks before the invasion, I was working as a cameraman for a network news bureau in Kuwait. Our fixer told us that his cousin, a florist, planned to donate 10,000 flowers to children’s charities for the youngsters to give to American soldiers to show gratitude for saving them from Saddam. It was a perfect scene: friendly Arabs, cute kids, our brave men about to go into battle. We pitched the story to our bosses in New York.
CNN article about the Iranian missile strike, with interviews from soldiers on the base. The strike hit a housing unit for drone pilots and operators, so it was targetted quite precisely. The article ends with this rather ironic quote (via):
“You looked around at each other and you think: Where are we going to run? How are you going to get away from that?” said Ferguson. “I don't wish anyone to have that level of fear,” he said. "No one in the world should ever have to feel something like that.”
Inside the U.S. military's raid against its own security guards that left dozens of Afghan children dead. There's a lot of back story in the article about how U.S. local contracting for base security worked, but the core story seems to be something like this. U.S. soldiers were told that a Taliban commander would be visiting a particular village for a wedding. They device a plan that 12 special forces soldiers will drive into the village in the middle of the night to abduct the man, followed by another 70 soldiers ten minutes later to cover them as they move out. Unfortunately, when they try to do so, they discover that there are guards posted around the house: a parked truck blocks the street, and men with rifles fire at them from the roof when they stop their car. And then,
The commander shot two red flares into the air so the other units trailing behind could find them. He would later testify that he did not consider retreat a viable option. “For the reputation and just the credibility of coalition,” the commander said, adding that withdrawing from a fight with the Taliban when you are so far committed is “completely inconceivable and unacceptable.”
So instead they call in an AC-130 gunship to reduce the entire village to rubble, killing 91 civilians including 60 children.
“Marg bar Âmrikâ” is better translated as “Down with America” than “Death to America”. Or maybe “Go to hell, America”?
Supposedly you can tell whether an editorial in People’s Daily or Global Times represents official government policy based on whether the name in the byline is a pun (via).
Examples include
钟声 Zhong Sheng
“voice of China” or “voice of the central”任仲平 Ren Zhongping
“important People’s Daily commentary”仲组文 Zhong Zuwen
“Central Committee (CC) Organization Dept. Article”
An ongoing trial in Guantánamo Bay gives some more details about torture in 2002.
Mitchell became embroiled in a vicious turf war with a rival, the CIA chief of interrogations, for mastery of the “enhanced programme”. Each sought to use their links to CIA headquarters in Langley, Virginia, to get the other removed from their post. In that struggle the detainees were used as bargaining counters. The two men had them tortured for training or demonstration purposes.
What Does It Take To Be a Shen Yun Dancer? I got this as a Youtube ad a lot of times until I finally watched it, and it's actually kindof compelling! I guess cults are bad, but I feel a lot more positive towards Falun Gong if they produce a bevy of lithe attractive ballet dancers. They eventually took down the video, but apparently it was spammed enough to become an internet meme.
In more Falun Gong youtube ads, Hong Kong Printing Press - Our Press Was Just Torched is cute because they pronounce The Epoch Times as "The Epic Times".
So don't let communists win! Click that button below and try the paper yourself.
Domestic Politics
What did Mayor Pete actually say about Palestine (in Arabic) that time? Basically nothing.
Elizabeth Warren's interfaith council turns out to be an 87.5% intrafaith council.
Republicans sadly warn us that they would not vote for Bernie Sanders.
Special Adviser to the White House on Faith and Opportunity Initiative, Paula White, leads a prayer: “In the name of Jesus, we command all satanic pregnancies to miscarry right now”. She later commented that it was taken out of context and not meant literally. (Via.)
Meanwhile, the chaplain at the U.S. Army Garrison Daegu in South Korea writes a COVID 19 Assualt Prayer.
Law
USCIS policy to reject applications if they have any blank fields.
Yolanda is hardly the only victim of maliciously persnickety bureaucrats. The American Immigration Lawyers Association has collected 140 other examples of allegedly “incomplete” forms: an 8-year-old child who listed “none” for employment history but left the dates of employment field blank. An applicant who entered names of three siblings, but the form has spaces for four.
A story from Short Circuit:
While in jail on misdemeanor charges, inmate asks guard if he can charge his cell phone, which was not taken from him during booking. Uh oh! He's charged with possessing contraband! Trial court: “[C]onsider yourself fortunate” that I'm only sentencing you to 12 years in jail, with parole eligibility after three, instead of a full 15-year sentence. Mississippi Supreme Court: “While obviously harsh, [a] twelve-year sentence for possessing a cell phone in a correctional facility is not grossly disproportionate.” Concurrence: Our case law does, indeed, demand we uphold a 12-year sentence against this father of three for a victimless crime likely caused by a failure in booking procedure, but the prosecutor and trial judge deserve a mild finger-wagging for being so punitive. (H/t jduffyrice)
Decryption Originalism: The Lessons of Burr. Can the government force you to decrypt your hard drive, or does the Fifth Amendment protect you? Turns out there is case law on this question, from 1807.
In 2014, more than half of all California wiretaps (and one sixth of all the wiretaps in the U.S.) were authorized by one judge in Riverside County.
Steward Baker asks: Will the First Amendment Kill Free Speech in America? (I.e., a court held that you can't sue a search engine to force them to change their search results.)
The Automotive Police State: “No form of direct government control comes close to [traffic] stops in sheer numbers, frequency, proportion of the population affected, and in many instances, the degree of coercive intrusion.” Interesting to compare this with Scott's comments about On The Road (“a picture of a high-trust society collapsing ... because the book’s protagonists are going around defecting against everyone they meet at a hundred ten miles an hour”), and Kontextmaschine's comment that “the development of motor vehicles totally changed crime in America”.
Why is the Japanese Conviction Rate so High? (via.)
[It] seems unrelated to any pro-conviction bias at the judicial administrative offices. We suggest an alternative explanation: the high conviction rates reflect case selection and low prosecutorial budgets; understaffed prosecutors present judges with only the most obviously guilty defendants.
Before 1972 U.S. federal law didn't have any explict statute about audio recordings, so instead this was left to state law. The 1972 copyright act deliberately didn't preempt state law for existing works, so recordings made before February 15, 1972 are still managed by the state. However, New York law also didn't have any explicit statute about audio recordings, so instead New York courts rely on the common law! I'm not sure how much medieval English case law there is about phonograms, but apparently the courts have concluded that copyright therefore lasts in perpetuity. [Edit to add: this was fixed by the 2018 Music Modernization Act which extended federal copyright to old audio recordings also.]
COVID-19
Can you defeat COVID-19 by putting snot up your butt?
Local government authorities cut off thousands of roses in a park in Saitama, to keep flower viewers away.
"Taiwanese response to the 'rona was so effective/early in part because deputy director of Taiwan CDC was shitposting on Taiwanese equivalent of 4chan on New Year's Eve".
Clown delivers covid death count.
Military
"laser/beam weapons are often depicted as instantly penetrating the target, but currently existing laser weapons are low-power, like a lightspeed flame thrower."
Long range artillery faded into obscurity in the U.S. army because the range closures are a pain.
The original use-case for the SR-71 was to direct a second wave of ICBM strikes.
There was at least experiments to give the F-117 an air-to-air capability with a secondary mission to shoot down Soviet AWACS, just like in Red Storm Rising.
The Pantsir's record in actual combat situations speaks for itself.
Venezuelan patrol ship sinks itself by ramming a cruise liner.
Beware of the Gwern
/u/terratheillusionist relates this sad tale:
“Once opened I was shown a waifu so lovely and pure that I stared in amazement and awe. Then the page refreshed automatically. Now I am doomed to forever refresh to get her back, knowing it shall never be.”
And:
The man was devastated when he found out that his waifu wasn't
realfictional.
I know the feel bro.
Light verse on twitter
Doubly dactyls about insight pornography, effective altruism, breakdown of the bicameral mind.
Some say "as rodents, so with man" / Some say "IN MICE".
Miscellaneous
Ethan Zuckerman leaves a letter for the next occupant of his MIT Media Lab office, explaining why the window doesn't open.
Homeschooled with MIT courses at 5, accepted to MIT at 15 (2015). “MIT has been my middle school, my high school, my entire education,” says Ahaan Rungta. MIT is extremely insular: the most common graduate school destination for MIT undergrads is MIT itself, and (unusually for the US) many of their faculty members went to MIT for grad school. I was hoping this guy would take it to the next level, but apparently he instead became a sports writer for Red Sox Life and Celtics Life.
Vox on The right way to kill a fish (8 min video). “the first step is to make sure that this fish doesn't experience any stress [...] by placing a spike into its brain”
"If archaeologists had to name our culture in the style of the Corded Ware culture or the Funnel Beaker culture, we’d be the Injection Moulded Plastic culture."
In December 2020 Britain had its first monthly trade surplus since record-keeping began in 1998. However, it's apparently an artifact of a single bank changing a gold holding from "unallocated" to "allocated" status (without even physically moving any gold).
The Cost of Thriving (and a twitter thread summarizing it by the author). Trying to compare inflation-adjusted cost of living in different time periods is made complicated because the measures of inflation include improvements in the quality of goods. E.g.,
BLS reports that toy prices (including electronics and video games) fell 73 percent from 1994 to 2018.19 Yet the actual toys on the market have become more expensive. In 1996, Toys “R” Us advertised a Nintendo 64 for $200.20 Today, the cheapest Xbox One console sold by Amazon costs $245 (and its list price is $300). The outdated Sega Genesis cost $100 in 1996, whereas the outdated Xbox 360 costs $170 now. A twenty-inch boys’ bike cost $100 in 1993 and costs at least $100 now.
In order to capture a notion of the good middle-class life, the author proposes to instead compare "the number of weeks of the median male wage required to pay for rent on a three-bedroom house at the 40th percentile of a local market’s prices, a family health insurance premium, a semester of public college, and the operation of a vehicle". Doing so shows that the "thriving" middle class existence is indeed harder to get now than in the past.
Twitter user ellegist made a chart of men you will briefly date in your 20s; other twitter users had a lot of thoughts on it.
Funny tweets
Ship of theseus anime cut. As if you could prevent heart attacks by letting a special medical spider bite you once a year. Seven-year-old kid fails to stump mom about International Space Station trivia. Academic fields ordered by purity. Canonically, the Buddha had a magical penis containing 1040 bodhisattvas. Eliezer Yudkowsky bakes a zero-calorie cake. A summer roll is sprouting. You cannot remove this baby. This cake is a lie. ALL NATURAL OAK & HICKORY COWBOY BRAND LUMP. Mediatation lifehack. Why are radio wavelengths called X-band, S-band, etc? Why are the two magnetic fields denoted B and H? A Google spelling correction. People stocking up for social distancing buy ALMOST all the beans. The ceiling fan had a wall controller that seemed fairly straightforward. Star forts from ancient astronauts. Yudkowsky on false statements. 10-liter fuel can of the French army.